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Laboratoire de Physiologie-Groupement d'Intérêt Public Exercice, Faculté de Médecine Saint-Etienne, 42023 Saint-Etienne cedex 2; and Laboratoire de Physiologie-GIP Exercice, Faculté de Médecine Lyon-Sud, 69921 Oullins cedex, France
Busso, Thierry, Christian Denis, Régis Bonnefoy,
André Geyssant, and Jean-René Lacour. Modeling of
adaptations to physical training by using a recursive least squares
algorithm. J. Appl. Physiol. 82(5):
1685-1693, 1997.
The present study assesses the usefulness
of a systems model with time-varying parameters for describing the
responses of physical performance to training. Data for two subjects
who undertook a 14-wk training on a cycle ergometer were used to test
the proposed model, and the results were compared with a model with
time-invariant parameters. Two 4-wk periods of intensive training were
separated by a 2-wk period of reduced training and followed by a 4-wk
period of reduced training. The systems input ascribed to the training
doses was made up of interval exercises and computed in arbitrary
units. The systems output was evaluated one to five times per week by
using the endurance time at a constant workload. The time-invariant
parameters were fitted from actual performances by using the least
squares method. The time-varying parameters were fitted by using a
recursive least squares algorithm. The coefficients of determination
r2 were 0.875 and
0.879 for the two subjects using the time-varying model, higher than
the values of 0.682 and 0.666, respectively, obtained with the
time-invariant model. The variations over time in the model parameters
resulting from the expected reduction in the residuals appeared
generally to account for changes in responses to training. Such a model
would be useful for investigating the underlying mechanisms of
adaptation and fatigue.
exercise; performance; overtraining; fatigue; fitness
SEVERAL STUDIES HAVE SHOWN that systems modeling can
describe the effects of physical training on performance (3-10,
20, 21). The performance (systems output) was mathematically related to
the training loads (systems input) via a transfer function including
two first-order filters, one with a positive gain ascribed to the
adaptation to exercise and one with negative gain ascribed to the
fatiguing effect of the training loads. The model performance is
obtained by convolving the training doses, quantified from exercise
level and time, to the impulse response. The model parameters were
assumed to be constant throughout the experimental period and were
determined by fitting the model performances to actual performances.
The present study investigates the usefulness of a model with
parameters free to vary over time when using a recursive least square
algorithm (16). The purpose is to assess whether the expected reduction
of the residuals after fitting this time-varying model would provide
further information on the adaptations to physical training. The models
with parameters constant and varying over time were compared by using
data collected from stressful training on a cycle ergometer by two
volunteers.
The model described herein is based on a systems model initially
proposed by Banister et al. (4). The subject is represented by a
system, the input of which is the daily total exercise level and time
and the output is the performance. The working of the system is
described by a transfer function, which is the sum of two first-order
transfer functions. The impulse response
[g(t)] of such a
function is
where
k1 and
k2 are gain terms
(k1 < k2), and
(1)
1 and
2 are time constants
(
1 >
2). The model performance is
obtained by convolving the training doses, quantified from exercise
level and time, to the impulse response
g(t). The model parameters are determined by fitting the model performances to actual performances by
the least square method.
k1 and
k2 were in
arbitrary units, depending on the units used to measure the training
load and performance in our studies (7-10, 21), whereas in studies
of Banister's group (3-6, 20)
k1 and
k2 were
dimensionless. Only the ratio k2/k1
can be thus compared between studies.
tn is defined as
the time needed after an impulse training stimulus for the effects of
fatigue to be dissipated sufficiently to allow the effects of training
to return performance to the pretraining level (13, 20). Thereafter,
the performance will exceed its pretraining level.
tn is estimated
by
(2)
The tn
was 23 days for an elite hammer thrower who trained once or twice a day
and had trained for 7 yr (7). This was greater than the 8 and 11 days
reported for two subjects following an intensive program of running
40-50 min at least once each day for 28 days (20). The lowest
values for tn
were 1-3 days for eight subjects performing a moderate endurance
training of four 1-h sessions at 60-90% of maximal oxygen uptake
(
O2 max) on a cycle
ergometer per week for 14 wk (8). These differences were illustrated by
computing the time impulse response
g(t) for three subjects:
subject S5 showing the higher value
for k2 in Ref. 8,
subject RHM in Ref. 20, and the
athlete studied in Ref. 7. The time impulse response for these three
subjects for an exercise leading to a decrease in performance of 1 arbitrary unit one day after the training completion is shown in Fig.
1. The greater the training intensity, the
greater the time needed to recover from a single training session.
Difference in the time course of the performance recovery arose, on the
one hand, from a difference in
2, <3 days in
subjects undergoing moderate training (8), and, on the other hand, from
a difference in the
k2/k1 ratio: 4 in the athlete (7) vs. 1.8 and 2 in subjects undergoing intensive training (20), since
2 was similar in these two
studies, 13 days (7) and 11 days (20).
The observed differences in the published model parameters could arise in part from differences in training intensity. A highly trained subject should not need a longer time for recovery than an untrained one. However, an elite athlete would need to train greatly more than an untrained one for an equivalent gain in performance. This greater training demand is also likely to lead to increased fatigue. The repetition of exercises could alter the responses to a given training dose. If a session occurs before complete recovery from the preceding one, the negative effect could be amplified, and the regeneration time needed would be longer than if there was a longer gap between training sessions. The model parameters estimated for moderate training in Ref. 8 are unlikely to be representative of the responses of the same subjects to more strenuous training, whereas the model parameters estimated for the athlete in Ref. 7 could not reflect his response to a single training session.
The differences in observed tn would be in keeping with data related to overtraining. Short-term overtraining for a few days to 2 wk is differentiated from long-term overtraining lasting weeks and months (14, 17, 18). The mechanisms underlying overtraining are not clear. The fatigue defined as a failure to maintain an expected power output (15) could be due to a combination of factors, including electrophysiological, metabolic, and ionic processes that occur within <1 day (12, 15, 19). Short-term overtraining has been generally associated with incomplete restoration of cellular homeostasis between two training sessions due to the accumulation of waste products and depletion of muscle substrate (14, 17). Both the accumulation of waste products and glycogen depletion could lead to structural muscle damage (1, 2). Long-term overtraining has been associated with impairment of the neuroendocrine, autonomic, and immunological systems and mood state from which recovery could require weeks or months (14, 17, 18). The transient decreases in performance as a result of intensive training could thus arise from a mosaic of physiological processes that would have different dynamics. As the model described above is rather a model of data (11) or an empirical model (22), it summarizes the behavior of the performances during training. The model parameters would thus reflect the essential physiological mechanisms responsible for the observed performance response. The tn values observed in modeling studies would thus be linked to the importance of the physiological processes involved in each kind of experiment. When the statistical analysis showed only one component, this may correspond to an extreme case. Only one positive component might correspond to subjects in whom fatigue was negligible, as opposed to performance gain during moderate training in low-fitness subjects (8).
Therefore, the linear time-invariant functions used in the model could be unsuitable for describing responses to training with varied regimens. The model parameters were assumed to be constant throughout the experimental period in the above-cited studies. However, day-to-day variations in model parameters, which would lead to a better fit of the performances, might describe more precisely adaptations to training and long-term fatigue. The present study investigates the relevance of a model with parameters (gain terms and time constants) free to vary over time, using a recursive least square method.
Protocol. Two subjects,
A and
B, were volunteers for the present
study. The two subjects, aged 36 and 29 yr, were recreational cyclists,
with
O2 max of 44.4 and
45.4 ml · min
1 · kg
1,
respectively, before the study. They trained regularly on a cycle
ergometer (Monark) during the 4 mo preceding the experiment, with
2-4 sessions/wk, with intermittent exercises identical to those
used during the experiment. This pretraining period was carried out to
get the subjects used to the training conditions and to control their
fitness status at the beginning of the experiment. The 14-wk experiment
included two 4-wk periods of intensive training (weeks
1-4 and
7-10),
separated by a 2-wk period of reduced training (weeks
5 and 6). The last 4 wk of the study were also a period of reduced training
(weeks 11-14). The subjects
performed every exercise on a cycle ergometer (Monark). The power
generated during exercise was displayed by a system integrating the
speed of the free wheel and the braking force.
During the two periods of intensive training (weeks 1-4 and 7-10), the subjects trained 5 consecutive days followed by 2 days of rest. However, subject A did not comply with the protocol during week 3. During the periods of reduced training (weeks 5, 6, and 11-14), the training frequency was reduced to 3-4 sessions/wk, and the training loads were halved. The training sessions included four kinds of intermittent exercises: S2-2 with 2 min of work interspersed with 2 min of active recovery, S3-3 with 3 min of work and 3 min of recovery, S5-3 with 5 min of work and 3 min of recovery, and S10-5 with 10 min of work and 5 min of recovery. During the periods of intensive training, these sequences were repeated 10 times for S2-2 and S3-3, 8 times for S5-3, and 4 times for S10-5. Furthermore, the sessions S2-2, S3-3, and S5-3 were composed of two bouts of equal duration elapsed by 15 min of rest. During the periods of reduced training, the number of repetitions was halved and included in a single exercise bout. The power maintained during exercise and active recovery was adjusted by the subjects. Exercise intensities were prescribed at 100% of maximal aerobic power (MAP) for S2, 95% for S3, 90% for S5, and 85% for S10. However, to keep a good compliance of the subjects, they were free to adapt day to day the exercise intensity according to their fatigue and/or fitness status.
The subjects performed every other week an incremental test until
exhaustion to measure the
O2 max and the external
MAP. The subjects warmed up and then exercised for 6 min at a work rate
corresponding to ~60% of
O2 max; the work rate
was then increased every 2 min by 30 or 40 W, depending on the subject, until exhaustion. The subjects breathed through a two-way
non-rebreathing valve (Hans Rudolph). The expired gases were collected
in a mixing chamber connected to gas analyzers (Ametek S-3AI for
O2 tension and Normocap Datex for
CO2 tension). The gases were
collected in a Tissot spirometer for measuring minute ventilation. MAP
was calculated as the product of
O2 max and the net
efficiency, estimated from the 6-min exercise at constant load. Net
efficiency was computed as the ratio between
O2 max exceeding basal
metabolic rate and external power output.
A constant-load exercise was performed until exhaustion before most of the training sessions, three to five times each week of intensive training, and one to three times each week of reduced training. The subjects performed these trials separately and were verbally encouraged. The maximal duration sustained by the subjects was recorded and used as a criterion of performance (Tmax). The load used in these trials was fixed before the experiment and maintained during it. It was chosen to provide a Tmax close to 5 min at the beginning of the study. After a first evaluation during the week before the experiment, the load was fixed to 270 and 360 W in subjects A and B, respectively. Indeed, Tmax was 5 min for subject A and 4 min 40 s for subject B on the first day of the experiment.
Quantification of training. The total duration of exercise and the mean power sustained were registered every day. However, the training sessions differed in the duration of each exercise and the recovery between them. The training sessions were compared by considering that each of them corresponded to the same training dose when exercises were performed at the prescribed intensity. The work executed during the recovery was not considered in the computation of the training doses. A training session would correspond to 100 or 50 units, respectively, for periods of intensive and reduced training, when it was performed at the reference intensity: 100% of MAP for S2-2 session, 95% for S3-3 session, 90% for S5-3 session, and 85% for S10-5 session. The training dose was then corrected with respect to the true exercise intensity. For example, a training session S3-3 at a mean intensity of 90% of MAP during intensive training would correspond to a training dose of 100 multiplied by the ratio between 90 and 95 = 94.7 units. The training dose corresponding to the trial to determine MAP was fixed at 20 units. Furthermore, a trial performed at 100% of MAP giving a Tmax of 5 min was also considered to be equal to 20 units. The training doses corresponding to the Tmax exercise were referred to these values according to their actual duration and intensity. For example, a Tmax exercise lasting 7 min and performed at 95% of MAP would give a training dose equal to 20 units multiplied by the ratio between actual and reference duration (7/5) and intensities (95/100), giving a dose of 26.6 units.
Variations in performance. Both subjects were exposed to a level of exercise stress much greater than those to which they were accustomed. The adaptive responses to the training stimulus produced large gains in Tmax in both subjects. However, the repetition of the training loads also induced transient decreases in performance.
The plot of the best performance reached during each week of the
experiment shows the improvement in subjects' fitness (Fig. 2). However, the rate of increase in
performance was not steady during the experiment. After an initial
increase in week 1, the performance
improved slowly until week 4 only in
subject A. Then, the two subjects
increased their performance with the 2 wk of reduced training
(weeks 5 and
6). The gains in performance were more substantial during the first 3 wk of the second period of intensive training (weeks 7-9).
This progression was interrupted in week
10. The imbalance between exercise and recovery
resulted in a severe, prolonged fatigue at the end of the second period of intensive training. The subjects complained of muscle soreness and
had great difficulty complying with the training program from weeks 9 to
11. The performances of both subjects
were noticeably better than on week
9 only on
week 13, during the period of reduced training.
On the other hand, the training regimen resulted in a short-term
transient decrease in performance. A decrease in performance was
observed with the 5 consecutive days of training for
weeks 5-8
in subject A and for each week of intensive
training in subject B. Subsequent gain in performance was
observed after the 2-day rest (Fig. 3). The
greater reductions in performance were observed in both subjects for
weeks 8 and
9. In addition, the subjects did not
completely recover their best performance of week
9 after the 2-day rest between weeks
9 and 10. This
incomplete recovery corresponded to the breaking in the general
progression of the subjects' fitness and could arise from short-term
overtraining (14). In addition, the performance changed with some
irregularities in the time course of the subsequent period of reduced
training (weeks
11-14). Despite the
low degree of exercise stress, a rather large decrease in performance
was observed for week 13 in
subject A and for
weeks 12 and
14 in
subject B.
Let p(t) and w(t) be the time functions of performance and training, respectively; p(t) and w(t) are mathematically related as
|
(3) |
The definition of the convolution product leads to
|
(4) |
1. The discretization of
Eq. 4 results in estimation of the
model performance on day n
(
n), from the successive
training loads wi, with
i varying from 1 to
n
1
|
|
(5) |
w(0) represents the accumulated training before the
experiment. The training before the experiment was 100-200
units/wk. If a daily training of 20 units and a
1 value of 50 days is assumed, the accumulated training function will plateau at 1,000 arbitrary units, given by w(0) = 20/[1
exp(
1/50)].
This value of 1,000 units was thus chosen for w(0). The p* value was
fixed at 80% of the value of performance at the beginning of the
experiment, p* = 0.8 p1. This
basic level would correspond to the subjects' performance after a few
months of detraining.
The model parameters were considered to be constant throughout the 14-wk period. They were determined by fitting the model performances to the actual performances by the least square method, i.e., by minimizing the residual sum of squares (RSS) between modeled and actual performances
|
(6) |
1 of
30-60 days and
2 of
1-20 days gave the total set of model parameters. The choice of
these ranges of values for the time constants was guided by their
estimates in the previous studies.
The model with time-invariant parameters accounted for almost 70% of
the total variations in performance in both subjects (Table
1). The time constant of the positive
component was 60 days for both subjects, whereas the time constant for
the negative component was 4 days in subject
A and 6 days in subject B. The corresponding values for
tn were 6 and 9 days, respectively, in subjects A and
B (Table 1).
The
estimates for
1 reached the upper limit of the admissible values for both subjects. However, higher
values for
1 had little effect
on the goodness of fit. Variations in
1 have a minor effect on the
time course of the performance response to a training impulse, compared
with changes caused by variations in
k1,
k2, and
2 (13).
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1 and
2, time constants;
k1 and
k2, gain terms;
tn, time needed
after impulse training stimulus for the effects of fatigue to be
dissipated; pg, maximal gain in
performance due to 1 unit of training.
k2 and change in
performance with the 5-day training for each week of intensive
training.
The variations in performance during the second half of the experiment were not well described by the time-invariant model. The residual error after model fitting was rather large from week 8 to the end of the experiment (Fig. 4). The model accounted neither for the best performances during this period nor for the large decreases in performance during weeks 8 and 9. Therefore, the model with parameters invariant over time failed to describe adequately the changes in performance when the fatigue would be accrued with intensive training.
Equation 5 was fitted by a recursive least squares algorithm with a use of an exponential window (16). In such a process, the model parameters were estimated each time data were collected. The parameters at a given time were obtained from the previous and present data. The effect of present data was artificially emphasized by exponentially weighting past data values. On day n, the parameters were fitted by minimizing the following recursive function
|
< 1. A small value of
allowed rapid changes in model
parameters, but they were sensitive to noise. A large value of
limited the ability of the process to follow variations in parameters
but reduced their sensitivity to noise. On day
n, k1 and
k2 were computed
for a grid of values for
1 and
2, identical to those used for
the time-invariant model. Successive minimization of
Sn gave the total set of
parameters on day n. However, the
model parameters for day 1 were fixed.
The negative function was considered to be zero
(k2 and
2 = 0), and
1 was fixed at 50 days. The
k1 value for
day 1 was then computed by
k1 = 0.2 p1/1,000
e
1/50. For
instance, k1
would be close to 0.001 arbitrary unit if the p1 was 5 min.
The freedom given to the parameters to vary over time induce a
reduction in the residuals after model fitting (Fig. 4). A better fit
as a result of parameters free to vary over time was expected.
Nevertheless, the changes in model parameters could arise from
artifacts in model procedures. The value of
was chosen in this
study to give an SE close to 0.5 min to limit the influence of noise in
parameter variations. The value retained for
was 0.9 for both
subjects, giving an SE of 0.52 for subject
A and 0.53 for subject
B (Table 1). Whereas this choice was arbitrary, the
signification of the changes in model parameters over time needs to be
examined.
VARIATIONS OVER TIME IN MODEL PARAMETERS
The mean estimates of the parameters fitted with the recursive
algorithm were close to the values for the time-invariant model. Rather
large variations, ascribed to the coefficient of variation (CV%; Table
1), were observed for
k2 and
2 in both subjects and for
k1 in
subject A.
Additionally to tn estimated by using Eq. 2, the time needed to reach maximal performance after an impulse training stimulus (tg) was estimated as follows (13, 20)
|
(7) |
The maximal gain in performance due to 1 unit of training was labeled pg and estimated as
|
When the model parameters and the derived variables are plotted
as a function of time (Fig. 5), it appears that the
amplitude factors
k1 and
k2 and the more
composite variable pg increased in
the time course of the experiment. However, the time constants
1 and
2 and the derived value
tn did not
change in any simple way.
To test the consistency of the variations over time of the parameter
estimates, their variability has to be compared with some variability
in the data. The aim of the model is to distinguish short-term fatigue
to long-term adaptation. Because the progression in performance was not
steady over the time course of the experiment, the best performance
reached during each week could be used as an index of the subjects'
adaptability. On the other hand, the change in performance with the 5 successive days of intensive training would be an indicator of the
magnitude of the fatigue resulting from exercise stress. The model
parameters and derived variables were compared with both the best
performance per week and the change in performance with the 5 consecutive days of each week of intensive training by using linear
regression. The amplitude factor
k1 was correlated
to the best performance per week: R = 0.71 (P < 0.01, n = 14) in subject
A and R = 0.61 (P < 0.05, n = 14 ) in subject
B. Figure 6 illustrates the similar
results obtained for pg:
R = 0.86 (P < 0.001) in
subject A and
R = 0.71 (P < 0.01) in
subject B. In addition, the variation
in performance with the 5 consecutive days of intensive training was
correlated with
k2:
R = 0.80 (P < 0.05, n = 7) in
subject A and
R = 0.68 (P = 0.06, n = 8) in
subject B and with the difference
k2
k1: R = 0.84 (P < 0.05) in
subject A and
R = 0.72 (P < 0.05) in
subject B (Fig. 7).
Week 3 was not considered
for subject A, since he did not complete the 5-day
training. The time constants,
tn, and tg failed to show such
correlations.
The breaking in the performance progression at the end of the second
period of intensive training corresponded to an incomplete recovery of
the performance with the 2-day rest between the
weeks 9 and
10. To assess how the variations in
model parameters accounted for this feature, the time impulse response
to a training amount of 100 units was computed in both subjects for
weeks 9 and
10 (Fig. 8). The time
needed to recover performance after a training impulse was greater in
week 10 (14 days in
subject A and 10 days in
subject B) than in
week 9 (5 days in both
subjects). In addition,
2 was
greater in week 10 (17 days in
subject A and 11 days in subject B) than in
week 9 (2 days in
subject A and 5 days in
subject B).
The greater values for
2 for
subject B during the first part of the
experiment are in line with the greater decreases in performance
observed for this subject with intensive training on
weeks 1-4
(Fig. 3). However, it is difficult to assess whether the variations in
model parameters during the second period of reduced training would
reflect the persistence of the effects of the preceding intensive
training or would be artifacts arising from the irregularities in the
performance evolution during the last weeks of the experiment.
The conclusions that can be drawn are as follows:
1) the variations over time in the
amplitude factors
k1 and the more
composite variable pg were in
keeping with the nonsteady week-to-week improvement of the performance;
2) the amplitude factor
k2 and the
difference between
k1 and
k2 changed over
time in line with the response to the 5 consecutive days of intensive
training; 3) the increase in the
time constant
2 at the end of
the second period of intensive training was in accordance with the
incomplete recovery of the performance observed at this time;
4) however, artifacts in parameter variations could arise from unevenness in performance during the last
weeks of the study.
In conclusion, the purpose of the present study was to assess whether a
time-varying systems model would provide more information on the
adaptation to training than the model with time-invariant parameters.
The data gathered to examine the usefulness of the proposed
time-varying model showed a nonsteady improvement in performance with a
critical period where the subjects had great difficulty recovering from
exercise. These particular features of the data were described by the
variations over time in model parameters: changes in
k1 and
pg as indicators of the increase in the benefit of training with repeated exercise, and changes in
k2 and
2 that were in line with
apparent modifications in the magnitude and the time course of the
long-term fatigue resulting from the intensive training. These
observations are partly in accordance with the data in the literature
concerning the time-invariant model. The increase in the negative
influence of training is in keeping with the greater values for
k2 and
2 observed for a greater intensity of training (see BASIC
FRAMEWORK). In contrast, the increase in the
amplitude factor
k1 with intensive
training is less well established. In the present study, the training
doses were estimated from exercise intensity, taking into consideration the long-term improvement in subjects' fitness. However, since the
negative influence of training affected performance, the input signal
corresponding to a given training session also could be enhanced,
yielding to greater adaptation and fatigue. A more precise assessment
of the training doses thus will be necessary in future investigations
to address adequately this issue.
The changes over time in model parameters would not arise generally from noise in data. However, these variations cannot be directly interpreted as modifications in the underlying physiological mechanisms. The model with time-invariant parameters considers the adaptations to physical training as an addition over time of the effects of each training impulse. In contrast, parameters free to vary over time allow the model to better describe the complexity of the cumulated effects of the training by considering that the influence over time of a given training impulse could be dependent on the previous and later training doses. The observed changes in model parameters in the time course of training with varied regimens could thus arise from the model structure rather than from physiological alterations. Nevertheless, the emphasis of the apparent amplitude factors and time constants is to describe the observed behavior of subjects undergoing physical training. The present findings showed that the proposed model with parameters varying over time can be a useful tool in studies and may provide a way of studying the mechanisms underlying adaptations to physical training. The particular features of the present data concerning increase in both adaptability and long-term fatigue with intensive training deserve further investigations to assess their reproducibility in a larger number of subjects and possible correspondence with physiological entities.
Address for reprint requests: T. Busso, Laboratoire de Physiologie, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Saint-Etienne, Hôpital de Saint-Jean-Bonnefonds, Pavillon 12, 42055 Saint-Etienne cedex 2, France (E-mail: busso{at}univ-st-etienne.fr).
Received 26 March 1996; accepted in final form 24 January 1997.
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